Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Kentucky ยท U.S. House

Kentucky 3rd District

Morgan McGarvey wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Morgan McGarvey D won 174,775 70.3%
Maria Rodriguez R 73,717 29.7%
Total248,492

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 4:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Jefferson 248,492 D +40.7 D +19.3 D +21.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,710 votes248,492D +40.7
+49,988 votes246,782D +40.7
+29,435 votes196,794D +42.4
+50,909 votes167,359D +46.9
+29,718 votes116,450D +48.2
+86,732 votes86,732D +55.0