Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Kentucky · U.S. House

Kentucky 1st District

James Comer wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
James Comer R won 153,992 67.6%
John Williams D 73,910 32.4%
Total227,902

Last vote update Nov 5, 5:21 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
McCracken 21,437 R +24.6 R +35.4 D +10.8 100%
Franklin 19,824 D +9.5 R +5.0 D +14.4 100%
Christian 13,507 R +18.0 R +34.0 D +16.0 100%
Henderson 13,470 R +18.2 R +29.6 D +11.4 100%
Hopkins 13,404 R +35.7 R +51.5 D +15.8 100%
Calloway 11,757 R +26.5 R +38.6 D +12.1 100%
Marshall 11,677 R +44.2 R +57.4 D +13.2 100%
Graves 10,417 R +49.3 R +62.3 D +13.0 100%
Boyle 10,194 R +14.8 R +29.5 D +14.6 100%
Taylor 8,183 R +50.0 R +57.4 D +7.4 100%
Logan 7,680 R +43.6 R +55.7 D +12.1 100%
Marion 6,330 R +25.9 R +44.1 D +18.2 100%
Adair 5,910 R +64.8 R +71.8 D +6.9 100%
Russell 5,827 R +66.8 R +72.8 D +6.0 100%
Allen 5,319 R +56.2 R +67.7 D +11.5 100%
Simpson 5,278 R +29.8 R +44.5 D +14.7 100%
Trigg 4,771 R +42.5 R +53.1 D +10.6 100%
Washington 4,721 R +36.8 R +51.0 D +14.2 100%
Casey 4,301 R +69.2 R +77.1 D +7.9 100%
Union 3,905 R +44.2 R +59.1 D +14.9 100%
Metcalfe 3,765 R +57.8 R +65.2 D +7.4 100%
Webster 3,478 R +44.8 R +58.0 D +13.2 100%
Livingston 3,450 R +56.8 R +63.9 D +7.1 100%
Monroe 3,267 R +74.3 R +78.1 D +3.7 100%
Todd 3,200 R +43.2 R +58.5 D +15.2 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,900 votes227,902R +35.1
+3,200 votes225,002R +35.0
+3,450 votes221,802R +34.9
+3,478 votes218,352R +34.6
+5,827 votes214,874R +34.4
+6,330 votes209,047R +33.5
+3,765 votes202,717R +33.7
+8,676 votes198,952R +33.3
+5,278 votes190,276R +32.8
+1,350 votes184,998R +32.9
+21,437 votes183,648R +32.7
+4,721 votes162,211R +33.8