Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Michigan

Bay County, Michigan

2026 election results. John James (R) got 50% of the vote for governor in Bay County. The margin is 13.4 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Bay County

U.S. Senate

Mike Rogers
52.0%25,865
Abdul El-Sayed
45.3%22,529
Lydia Christensen
1.3%651
Tim Long
0.9%437

2 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Abdul El-Sayed wins. Called.

Governor

John James
49.7%24,753
Jocelyn Benson
48.3%24,018
Anthony Hudson
1.1%559
Donna Brandenburg
0.5%262

1 more candidate on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: Jocelyn Benson wins. Called.

U.S. House: Michigan 8th District

Kristen McDonald Rivet
51.1%25,281
Thomas Smith
46.4%22,958
Kathy Goodwin
1.5%759
Mia Pettus
0.7%357

1 more candidate on the race page.

100% counted

Whole district: Kristen McDonald Rivet wins. Called.

The leader in Bay County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 10:26 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
MI SenateR +6.9R +14.9D +8.0
MI GovernorR +1.5R +14.9D +13.4
MI-08D +4.8R +14.9D +19.7

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Bay County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris42.0%Donald Trump56.7%R +14.761,338
2020Joe Biden43.4%Donald Trump55.0%R +11.660,323
2016Hillary Clinton40.9%Donald Trump53.5%R +12.652,977
2012Barack Obama52.2%Mitt Romney46.7%D +5.653,381
2008Barack Obama56.7%John McCain41.4%D +15.357,428
2004John Kerry54.4%George W. Bush44.6%D +9.857,059
2000Al Gore54.7%George W. Bush42.9%D +11.851,636

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +26.5.

Other counties in Michigan

Michigan results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Michigan certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Michigan's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.