Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Kentucky

Nelson County, Kentucky

2026 election results. Andy Barr (R) got 61% of the U.S. Senate vote in Nelson County. The margin is 17.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Nelson County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Nelson County

U.S. Senate

Andy Barr
61.1%9,875
Charles Booker
36.4%5,894
Christopher Campbell
2.5%406
100% counted

Statewide: Andy Barr wins. Called.

U.S. House: Kentucky 2nd District

S. Brett Guthrie
62.1%4,331
Megan Wingfield
35.4%2,474
Thomas Loecken
2.5%174
100% counted

Only part of Nelson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: S. Brett Guthrie wins. Called.

U.S. House: Kentucky 4th District

Ed Gallrein
60.7%5,507
Melissa Strange
35.4%3,208
Jeremy Todd
3.9%354
100% counted

Only part of Nelson County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Ed Gallrein wins. Called.

The leader in Nelson County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 7:51 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
KY SenateR +25.2R +42.3D +17.0
KY-02 part of the countyR +27.3R +37.9D +10.6
KY-04 part of the countyR +26.4R +45.5D +19.2

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Nelson County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris28.5%Donald Trump70.2%R +41.722,852
2020Joe Biden30.9%Donald Trump67.6%R +36.623,246
2016Hillary Clinton30.9%Donald Trump64.6%R +33.620,802
2012Barack Obama41.1%Mitt Romney57.6%R +16.518,533
2008Barack Obama42.2%John McCain55.9%R +13.718,146
2004John Kerry38.7%George W. Bush60.3%R +21.616,844
2000Al Gore40.6%George W. Bush57.2%R +16.613,488

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +25.2.

Other counties in Kentucky

Kentucky results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Kentucky certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Kentucky's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.