Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Kentucky

Clay County, Kentucky

2026 election results. Andy Barr (R) got 83% of the U.S. Senate vote in Clay County. The margin is 11.1 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Clay County

U.S. Senate

Andy Barr
83.4%3,757
Charles Booker
14.6%657
Christopher Campbell
2.0%90
100% counted

Statewide: Andy Barr wins. Called.

U.S. House: Kentucky 5th District

Hal Rogers
83.0%3,690
Ned Pillersdorf
13.6%606
Gerardo Serrano
1.8%80
Mikel Wein
1.6%71
100% counted

Whole district: Hal Rogers wins. Called.

The leader in Clay County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 6:11 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
KY SenateR +70.2R +81.4D +11.1
KY-05R +71.8R +81.4D +9.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Clay County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris9.2%Donald Trump89.5%R +80.37,517
2020Joe Biden11.0%Donald Trump88.0%R +77.07,596
2016Hillary Clinton11.1%Donald Trump86.6%R +75.56,767
2012Barack Obama15.0%Mitt Romney83.7%R +68.67,383
2008Barack Obama21.1%John McCain77.5%R +56.57,364
2004John Kerry24.7%George W. Bush74.5%R +49.87,687
2000Al Gore25.6%George W. Bush73.3%R +47.76,719

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +32.6.

Other counties in Kentucky

Kentucky results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Kentucky certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Kentucky's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.