Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arkansas · Governor

Arkansas Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Sarah Huckabee Sanders R won 477,381 53.8%
Fred Love D 341,812 38.6%
Colt Shelby L 67,426 7.6%
Total886,619

2,768 of 2,768 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Pulaski 130,144 D +30.5 D +22.7 D +7.8 100%
Benton 99,004 R +12.5 R +27.7 D +15.2 100%
Washington 75,900 D +12.4 R +6.9 D +19.2 100%
Saline 43,519 R +29.6 R +41.0 D +11.5 100%
Faulkner 40,289 R +18.0 R +33.1 D +15.2 100%
Sebastian 33,334 R +24.2 R +38.5 D +14.3 100%
Garland 31,544 R +29.4 R +37.1 D +7.6 100%
Craighead 26,152 R +19.6 R +38.3 D +18.7 100%
Lonoke 22,650 R +44.4 R +54.8 D +10.3 100%
White 22,322 R +54.1 R +62.6 D +8.5 100%
Jefferson 17,224 D +29.4 D +20.4 D +9.0 100%
Pope 16,611 R +39.8 R +53.5 D +13.7 100%
Crawford 16,105 R +48.2 R +59.3 D +11.1 100%
Baxter 14,234 R +51.9 R +57.8 D +6.0 100%
Union 12,030 R +22.1 R +34.0 D +11.9 100%
Boone 11,389 R +53.2 R +66.1 D +12.8 100%
Crittenden 10,983 D +16.2 D +2.3 D +13.9 100%
Miller 10,717 R +41.6 R +51.7 D +10.1 100%
Greene 10,621 R +48.5 R +62.3 D +13.7 100%
Cleburne 9,586 R +65.3 R +69.0 D +3.7 100%
Independence 9,142 R +49.8 R +60.8 D +11.0 100%
Carroll 8,753 R +15.2 R +32.4 D +17.2 100%
Hot Spring 8,530 R +40.3 R +53.2 D +12.9 100%
Mississippi 7,720 R +10.7 R +32.2 D +21.4 100%
Johnson 6,640 R +36.8 R +52.5 D +15.7 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+14 votes886,619R +16.5
+96 votes886,605R +16.5
+164 votes886,509R +16.6
+30 votes886,345R +16.6
+83 votes886,315R +16.6
+77 votes886,232R +16.6
+5,523 votes886,155R +16.6
+3,787 votes880,632R +16.3
+4,293 votes876,845R +16.2
+1,724 votes872,552R +16.0
+167,068 votes870,828R +16.0
+2,878 votes703,760R +14.8