Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arkansas · U.S. House

Arkansas 1st District

Rick Crawford wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Rick Crawford R won 127,083 65.5%
Terri Green D 60,136 31.0%
Steve Parsons L 6,942 3.6%
Total194,161

712 of 712 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Craighead 26,061 R +22.9 R +38.3 D +15.4 100%
Lonoke 22,544 R +47.1 R +54.8 D +7.7 100%
Baxter 14,174 R +52.1 R +57.8 D +5.8 100%
Boone 11,310 R +57.8 R +66.1 D +8.2 100%
Crittenden 10,891 D +15.7 D +2.3 D +13.4 100%
Greene 10,594 R +52.3 R +62.3 D +10.0 100%
Independence 9,118 R +52.9 R +60.8 D +7.9 100%
Mississippi 7,628 R +15.8 R +32.2 D +16.3 100%
Marion 5,556 R +55.9 R +61.2 D +5.2 100%
Sharp 5,363 R +58.4 R +63.9 D +5.5 100%
Poinsett 5,194 R +59.5 R +64.5 D +5.1 100%
St. Francis 4,759 D +9.0 D +0.8 D +8.3 100%
Izard 4,429 R +64.1 R +67.3 D +3.2 100%
Randolph 4,423 R +57.0 R +65.0 D +8.0 100%
Stone 4,276 R +57.2 R +63.1 D +5.9 100%
Cross 4,206 R +41.2 R +48.6 D +7.4 100%
Phillips 4,106 D +21.5 D +13.5 D +8.0 100%
Arkansas 4,042 R +39.0 R +44.9 D +5.8 100%
Lawrence 3,874 R +61.6 R +65.4 D +3.8 100%
Fulton 3,461 R +55.1 R +63.4 D +8.2 100%
Clay 3,352 R +58.5 R +62.8 D +4.3 100%
Jackson 3,260 R +41.3 R +49.6 D +8.3 100%
Chicot 2,999 D +16.6 D +4.0 D +12.6 100%
Desha 2,839 D +5.6 R +4.9 D +10.5 100%
Pulaski 2,667 D +50.3 D +33.9 D +16.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+162 votes194,161R +35.8
+30 votes193,999R +35.8
+8 votes193,969R +35.8
+76 votes193,961R +35.8
+5,480 votes193,885R +35.8
+4,269 votes188,405R +35.2
+77,846 votes184,136R +34.7
+2,839 votes106,290R +40.7
+28 votes103,451R +41.9
+4,267 votes103,423R +42.0
+4,759 votes99,156R +41.0
+2,522 votes94,397R +43.5