Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arkansas · U.S. House

Arkansas 4th District

Bruce Westerman wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Bruce Westerman R won 131,302 65.5%
James Russell D 69,176 34.5%
Total200,478

820 of 820 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Garland 30,921 R +31.4 R +37.1 D +5.7 100%
Jefferson 16,890 D +25.2 D +20.4 D +4.9 100%
Pope 16,471 R +42.1 R +53.5 D +11.4 100%
Union 11,351 R +24.0 R +34.0 D +10.0 100%
Miller 10,612 R +42.2 R +51.7 D +9.5 100%
Hot Spring 8,457 R +43.2 R +53.2 D +10.0 100%
Johnson 6,581 R +42.1 R +52.5 D +10.4 100%
Pulaski 6,408 D +57.6 D +49.1 D +8.5 100%
Ouachita 6,353 R +11.3 R +19.4 D +8.2 100%
Clark 5,807 R +15.0 R +20.9 D +6.0 100%
Columbia 5,678 R +27.5 R +37.0 D +9.5 100%
Logan 5,611 R +55.4 R +63.5 D +8.2 100%
Polk 5,239 R +63.5 R +71.8 D +8.4 100%
Grant 5,184 R +61.0 R +70.0 D +9.0 100%
Ashley 5,167 R +43.0 R +48.7 D +5.7 100%
Franklin 5,103 R +56.0 R +63.8 D +7.9 100%
Drew 4,997 R +27.4 R +34.4 D +7.1 100%
Yell 4,484 R +48.9 R +61.9 D +12.9 100%
Hempstead 4,021 R +28.7 R +40.5 D +11.8 100%
Little River 3,666 R +49.3 R +55.1 D +5.8 100%
Howard 3,202 R +39.9 R +47.4 D +7.5 100%
Sevier 3,078 R +40.5 R +62.8 D +22.3 100%
Pike 2,880 R +65.1 R +74.0 D +8.9 100%
Sebastian 2,864 R +62.4 R +70.2 D +7.8 100%
Newton 2,841 R +55.4 R +65.3 D +9.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+14 votes200,478R +31.0
+58 votes200,464R +31.0
+3,666 votes200,406R +31.0
+1,706 votes196,740R +30.6
+12,006 votes195,034R +30.7
+1,006 votes183,028R +31.2
+2,549 votes182,022R +31.7
+1,204 votes179,473R +31.3
+5,611 votes178,269R +31.1
+2,067 votes172,658R +30.3
+2,184 votes170,591R +30.3
+7,707 votes168,407R +29.9