Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Arkansas · U.S. House

Arkansas 2nd District

French Hill wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
French Hill R won 127,450 50.9%
Chris Jones D 123,092 49.1%
Total250,542

404 of 404 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:30 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Pulaski 120,452 D +30.9 D +21.0 D +9.8 100%
Saline 43,313 R +27.1 R +41.0 D +13.9 100%
Faulkner 40,031 R +16.0 R +33.1 D +17.2 100%
White 22,081 R +50.5 R +62.6 D +12.1 100%
Cleburne 9,499 R +62.1 R +69.0 D +6.9 100%
Conway 6,587 R +30.4 R +41.3 D +10.9 100%
Van Buren 5,382 R +53.0 R +61.5 D +8.5 100%
Perry 3,197 R +47.5 R +58.8 D +11.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+73 votes250,542R +1.7
+17 votes250,469R +1.8
French Hill wins——
+30,517 votes250,452R +1.8
+22,081 votes219,935R +2.9
+3,081 votes197,854D +2.4
+116 votes194,773D +3.2
+5,463 votes194,657D +3.2
+3,912 votes189,194D +4.4
+3,523 votes185,282D +4.6
+43,313 votes181,759D +3.8
+6,514 votes138,446D +13.5