Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Arkansas

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +16.4 since 2024. D +17.8 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 19 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +19.1D +23.5
GovernorD +14.8D +11.8
District 1D +14.7D +11.8
District 2D +16.1D +24.3
District 3D +19.6D +18.0
District 4D +14.8D +15.1

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Tom Cotton won
54.2%480,860
Hallie Shoffner
42.4%375,821
Jeff Wadlin
3.4%30,164
99% counted

Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders won
53.8%477,381
Fred Love
38.6%341,812
Colt Shelby
7.6%67,426
99% counted

Congress

District 1

Rick Crawford won
65.5%127,083
Terri Green
31.0%60,136
Steve Parsons
3.6%6,942
99% counted

District 2

French Hill won
50.9%127,450
Chris Jones
49.1%123,092
99% counted

District 3

Steve Womack won
54.9%127,304
Robb Ryerse
41.5%96,211
Bobby Wilson
3.6%8,413
99% counted

District 4

Bruce Westerman won
65.5%131,302
James Russell
34.5%69,176
99% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Pulaski129,527100%D +9.9—
Benton98,064100%D +11.6D +20.0
Washington75,068100%D +13.5D +17.1
Saline43,313100%D +13.9D +24.9
Faulkner40,031100%D +17.1D +24.0
Garland30,921100%D +5.7D +16.0
Sebastian31,732100%D +4.9D +13.1
Craighead26,061100%D +15.4—
White22,081100%D +12.1D +16.9
Lonoke22,544100%D +7.7—
Jefferson16,890100%D +4.9D +14.3
Pope16,471100%D +11.4D +16.3
Crawford16,057100%D +6.8D +11.9
Baxter14,174100%D +5.8—
Union11,351100%D +10.0D +17.6
Boone11,310100%D +8.2—
Crittenden10,891100%D +13.4—
Miller10,612100%D +9.5D +14.7
Greene10,594100%D +10.0—
Cleburne9,499100%D +6.9D +11.3
Independence9,118100%D +7.9—
Hot Spring8,457100%D +10.0D +14.3
Carroll8,719100%D +12.1D +15.2
Mississippi7,628100%D +16.3—
Conway6,587100%D +10.9D +13.8
Johnson6,581100%D +10.4D +15.4
Ouachita6,353100%D +8.2D +12.4
Clark5,807100%D +6.0D +13.1
Columbia5,678100%D +9.5D +13.9
Logan5,611100%D +8.2D +11.3
Van Buren5,382100%D +8.5D +11.2
Marion5,556100%D +5.2—
Polk5,239100%D +8.4D +10.1
Grant5,184100%D +9.0D +11.7
Sharp5,363100%D +5.5—
Ashley5,167100%D +5.7D +10.3
Franklin5,103100%D +7.8D +8.7
Drew4,997100%D +7.1D +10.8
Poinsett5,194100%D +5.1—
Madison5,152100%D +8.5D +10.3
St. Francis4,759100%D +8.3—
Yell4,484100%D +12.9D +20.1
Izard4,429100%D +3.2—
Randolph4,423100%D +8.0—
Stone4,276100%D +5.9—
Cross4,206100%D +7.4—
Hempstead4,021100%D +11.8D +20.8
Phillips4,106100%D +8.0—
Arkansas4,042100%D +5.8—
Lawrence3,874100%D +3.8—
Little River3,666100%D +5.8D +8.3
Fulton3,461100%D +8.2—
Clay3,352100%D +4.3—
Howard3,202100%D +7.5D +11.7
Perry3,197100%D +11.4D +15.5
Jackson3,260100%D +8.3—
Sevier3,078100%D +22.2D +28.6
Chicot2,999100%D +12.6—
Pike2,880100%D +8.8D +9.9
Newton2,841100%D +9.9D +11.5
Desha2,839100%D +10.5—
Montgomery2,549100%D +4.8D +8.0
Scott2,509100%D +3.4D +5.3
Searcy2,530100%D +12.4—
Lincoln2,429100%D +8.8—
Cleveland2,309100%D +5.6D +8.2
Bradley2,281100%D +8.0D +12.3
Prairie2,319100%D +2.5—
Nevada2,081100%D +8.0D +8.0
Monroe2,025100%D +7.6—
Lee1,960100%D +6.4—
Lafayette1,816100%D +10.4D +9.5
Woodruff1,772100%D +0.7—
Dallas1,706100%D +9.2D +15.5
Calhoun1,361100%D +12.3D +12.2