Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Louisiana

2 races undecided, about 99% counted.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 11 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +20.6—

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Julia Letlow won
50.9%745,963
Jamie Davis
49.1%720,106
99% counted

Congress

District 1

Steve Scalise won
60.7%159,890
Lauren Jewett
34.0%89,428
Randall Arrington
3.7%9,776
99% counted

District 2

Troy Carter won
79.9%192,258
Peter Williams
15.1%36,367
Lisa Ballay
2.7%6,405
99% counted

District 3

Clay Higgins won
55.0%129,203
John Day
20.9%49,162
Caleb Walker
8.5%19,932
99% counted

District 4

Mike Johnson won
58.5%134,739
Conrad Cable
23.0%52,893
Matt Gromlich
14.3%32,866
99% counted

District 5

Patricia Moore
17.9%40,789
Gabe Firment
17.2%39,131
Misti Cordell
14.6%33,366
99% counted

District 6

Chauna Banks
19.4%50,878
Blake Miguez
19.2%50,213
Rick Edmonds
18.8%49,241
99% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
East Baton Rouge151,103100%D +6.8—
Jefferson131,076100%D +15.4D +22.4
Orleans131,475100%D +7.8D +9.1
St. Tammany102,154100%D +7.9D +16.2
Lafayette79,316100%D +26.8D +35.1
Caddo71,567100%D +48.7—
Calcasieu56,065100%D +15.0D +29.0
Ouachita46,288100%R +24.2D +29.5
Livingston43,380100%D +13.3—
Ascension42,668100%D +16.6—
Tangipahoa38,943100%D +7.1D +21.7
Rapides37,169100%D +9.0D +26.0
Bossier36,048100%D +8.4—
Terrebonne28,262100%D +5.8—
Lafourche28,071100%D +7.7—
St. Landry25,726100%D +14.2—
Iberia19,243100%D +10.7D +30.1
Acadia18,184100%D +6.0D +17.0
St. Charles18,415100%D +19.7—
Vermilion17,408100%D +8.9D +21.9
St. Martin16,907100%R +1.8—
St. Mary14,687100%D +8.5—
St. John the Baptist13,948100%D +18.5—
Lincoln13,474100%D +5.1D +27.6
Washington12,853100%D +11.8D +20.0
Webster11,896100%D +6.2—
Avoyelles11,814100%D +23.4D +24.1
Iberville11,983100%D +9.4—
Natchitoches11,213100%D +10.7—
Vernon11,151100%D +4.6—
St. Bernard11,431100%D +25.9D +36.2
Beauregard10,319100%D +7.6—
Jefferson Davis10,434100%D +6.4D +16.7
Evangeline10,068100%D +14.3—
De Soto9,912100%D +38.2—
West Baton Rouge9,935100%D +8.4—
St. James9,168100%D +24.4D +14.3
Pointe Coupee8,157100%D +4.9D +15.7
Sabine7,887100%D +4.3—
Plaquemines7,727100%D +4.8D +12.9
Union7,428100%D +6.2—
East Feliciana7,293100%D +7.7D +19.3
Morehouse6,963100%D +9.9D +28.3
Assumption6,976100%D +11.0—
Allen6,595100%D +5.3—
Grant6,431100%R +0.1D +11.2
Richland6,011100%D +9.2D +27.5
Franklin5,669100%D +10.9D +30.1
Jackson5,478100%D +10.7D +24.9
Concordia5,425100%D +13.3D +28.6
Bienville4,959100%D +10.3—
Claiborne4,718100%D +0.7—
West Feliciana4,555100%D +2.6D +18.5
St. Helena4,411100%D +5.5D +17.2
LaSalle4,361100%D +2.1D +7.6
Winn4,099100%D +1.1D +14.7
Caldwell3,110100%D +2.9D +10.5
Catahoula3,064100%D +15.4D +22.5
Madison2,973100%D +4.5D +26.5
West Carroll2,813100%D +5.8D +16.9
Red River2,591100%D +11.9—
East Carroll2,063100%R +1.2D +18.2
Cameron1,985100%D +6.7D +11.1
Tensas1,660100%D +10.2D +33.9