Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Louisiana · U.S. House

Louisiana 1st District

Steve Scalise wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Steve Scalise R won 159,890 60.7%
Lauren Jewett D 89,428 34.0%
Randall Arrington R 9,776 3.7%
Liddy Glass UNA 4,279 1.6%
Total263,373

522 of 522 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
St. Tammany 102,154 R +36.6 R +44.5 D +7.9 100%
Jefferson 76,732 R +27.9 R +34.3 D +6.5 100%
Terrebonne 23,763 R +49.3 — — 100%
Orleans 22,021 D +30.2 D +32.1 R +1.9 100%
Tangipahoa 14,020 R +48.1 R +52.4 D +4.3 100%
Lafourche 11,337 R +65.2 R +76.1 D +10.9 100%
Plaquemines 7,727 R +33.6 R +38.5 D +4.8 100%
St. Bernard 5,619 R +17.8 R +34.2 D +16.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+7,586 votes263,373R +31.0
+2,782 votes255,787R +33.1
+623 votes253,005R +33.5
+1,129 votes252,382R +33.5
+4,273 votes251,253R +33.4
+898 votes246,980R +34.6
Steve Scalise wins——
+5,247 votes246,082R +34.5
+139 votes240,835R +34.2
+332 votes240,696R +34.2
+1,649 votes240,364R +34.2
+3,136 votes238,715R +34.5