Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Louisiana · U.S. House

Louisiana 4th District

Mike Johnson wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mike Johnson R won 134,739 58.5%
Conrad Cable D 52,893 23.0%
Matt Gromlich D 32,866 14.3%
Mike Nichols R 7,270 3.2%
Gordon Heslop R 2,571 1.1%
Total230,339

684 of 684 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Caddo 71,567 D +10.5 R +38.3 D +48.7 100%
Bossier 36,048 R +35.5 R +43.9 D +8.4 100%
Calcasieu 23,987 R +59.1 R +72.2 D +13.1 100%
Webster 11,896 R +30.8 R +36.9 D +6.1 100%
Natchitoches 11,213 R +11.9 — — 100%
Vernon 11,151 R +64.0 R +68.6 D +4.6 100%
Beauregard 10,319 R +64.5 R +72.1 D +7.6 100%
Evangeline 10,068 R +35.4 R +49.6 D +14.3 100%
De Soto 9,912 R +24.1 R +62.3 D +38.2 100%
Sabine 7,887 R +66.3 R +70.6 D +4.3 100%
Union 7,428 R +51.3 R +57.5 D +6.2 100%
Allen 6,595 R +56.4 R +61.7 D +5.3 100%
Bienville 4,959 R +7.9 R +18.2 D +10.3 100%
Claiborne 4,718 R +21.6 R +22.3 D +0.7 100%
Red River 2,591 R +15.9 R +27.8 D +11.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+859 votes230,339R +25.5
+2,451 votes229,480R +25.5
+4,554 votes227,029R +25.1
Mike Johnson wins——
+854 votes222,475R +24.6
+13,679 votes221,621R +24.4
+656 votes207,942R +25.5
+1,981 votes207,286R +25.5
+1,022 votes205,305R +25.1
+8,642 votes204,283R +25.0
+6,647 votes195,641R +26.8
+9,869 votes188,994R +26.1