Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Mexico · Governor

New Mexico Governor

Deb Haaland wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Deb Haaland D won 415,484 57.3%
Greggory Hull R 309,210 42.7%
Total724,694

2,204 of 2,204 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Bernalillo 249,867 D +25.1 D +21.6 D +3.5 94%
Santa Fe 70,502 D +54.5 D +50.0 D +4.5 100%
Dona Ana 66,727 D +27.7 D +10.0 D +17.7 100%
Sandoval 64,455 D +2.7 D +5.9 R +3.2 100%
San Juan 38,594 R +22.1 R +32.5 D +10.3 100%
Valencia 26,123 R +6.7 R +16.7 D +10.0 100%
McKinley 20,004 D +45.0 D +25.3 D +19.6 100%
Otero 18,027 R +14.2 R +27.6 D +13.3 100%
Eddy 16,183 R +44.8 R +56.6 D +11.8 100%
Chaves 15,514 R +32.4 R +45.6 D +13.2 100%
Lea 13,364 R +44.2 R +62.4 D +18.2 100%
Taos 13,335 D +55.7 D +48.8 D +6.9 100%
Rio Arriba 12,548 D +23.5 D +19.9 D +3.6 100%
Grant 11,550 D +16.7 D +5.2 D +11.5 100%
Curry 10,341 R +31.3 R +43.4 D +12.0 100%
Los Alamos 9,878 D +29.4 D +31.2 R +1.9 90%
San Miguel 8,975 D +33.7 D +28.5 D +5.3 100%
Lincoln 7,671 R +33.4 R +39.2 D +5.8 100%
Cibola 7,203 D +4.1 D +1.6 D +2.5 100%
Luna 5,957 D +3.4 R +19.3 D +22.8 100%
Socorro 5,804 D +10.5 R +3.8 D +14.3 100%
Torrance 5,491 R +30.6 R +39.0 D +8.3 100%
Roosevelt 4,790 R +33.6 R +44.1 D +10.4 100%
Colfax 4,764 R +8.7 R +14.3 D +5.7 100%
Sierra 4,757 R +11.5 R +19.7 D +8.2 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,545 votes724,694D +14.7
+512 votes721,149D +14.5
+738 votes720,637D +14.5
+315 votes719,899D +14.5
+664 votes719,584D +14.5
+105 votes718,920D +14.5
+1,994 votes718,815D +14.5
+1,956 votes716,821D +14.3
+100 votes714,865D +14.3
+1,831 votes714,765D +14.3
+3,157 votes712,934D +14.4
+7,995 votes709,777D +14.3