Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Mexico · U.S. House

New Mexico 2nd District

Gabriel Vasquez wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Gabriel Vasquez D won 123,676 58.7%
Gregory Cunningham R 86,848 41.3%
Total210,524

1,412 of 1,412 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Dona Ana 66,639 D +30.3 D +10.0 D +20.3 100%
Bernalillo 55,804 D +34.0 D +13.8 D +20.2 86%
Otero 17,737 R +13.8 R +28.3 D +14.6 100%
Valencia 15,321 D +2.0 R +14.4 D +16.4 100%
Grant 11,531 D +20.1 D +5.2 D +14.9 100%
Eddy 11,499 R +35.4 R +51.6 D +16.2 100%
Cibola 7,228 D +15.9 D +1.6 D +14.4 100%
Luna 5,945 D +7.2 R +19.3 D +26.6 100%
Socorro 5,773 D +16.3 R +3.8 D +20.1 100%
Sierra 4,753 R +8.1 R +19.7 D +11.6 100%
Lea 2,893 R +30.0 R +56.3 D +26.3 100%
McKinley 1,965 D +63.8 D +63.5 D +0.2 100%
Catron 1,942 R +40.7 R +50.8 D +10.2 100%
Hidalgo 1,429 R +5.8 R +23.6 D +17.8 100%
Chaves 65 — R +90.4 R +9.6 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+764 votes210,524D +17.5
+743 votes209,760D +17.4
+41 votes209,017D +17.4
+660 votes208,976D +17.4
+632 votes208,316D +17.2
+1,953 votes207,684D +17.1
+1,989 votes205,731D +17.2
+855 votes203,742D +17.0
+2,686 votes202,887D +16.7
+3,462 votes200,201D +16.5
+3,144 votes196,739D +16.2
+3,417 votes193,595D +16.0