Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

New Mexico · U.S. House

New Mexico 3rd District

Teresa Fernandez wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Teresa Fernandez D won 141,081 61.6%
Martin Zamora R 87,867 38.4%
Total228,948

977 of 977 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Santa Fe 65,962 D +66.1 D +56.0 D +10.1 100%
San Juan 38,397 R +15.8 R +32.5 D +16.7 100%
McKinley 17,803 D +48.5 D +21.3 D +27.2 100%
Chaves 13,773 R +24.8 R +43.0 D +18.2 100%
Taos 13,329 D +62.6 D +48.8 D +13.8 100%
Rio Arriba 12,490 D +37.8 D +19.9 D +17.9 100%
Lea 10,405 R +44.2 R +64.2 D +20.0 100%
Curry 10,316 R +33.5 R +43.4 D +9.9 100%
Los Alamos 9,827 D +36.9 D +31.2 D +5.6 92%
San Miguel 8,965 D +45.3 D +28.5 D +16.8 100%
Sandoval 6,903 D +43.3 D +32.5 D +10.8 100%
Roosevelt 4,783 R +33.9 R +44.1 D +10.1 100%
Colfax 4,744 R +0.5 R +14.3 D +13.8 100%
Eddy 4,637 R +59.0 R +69.2 D +10.3 100%
Quay 2,787 R +32.8 R +41.8 D +9.0 100%
Mora 2,185 D +33.5 D +17.5 D +15.9 100%
Union 1,265 R +42.9 R +53.5 D +10.6 100%
Harding 377 R +33.7 R +39.8 D +6.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,328 votes228,948D +23.2
+495 votes227,620D +23.0
+89 votes227,125D +23.0
+100 votes227,036D +23.0
+292 votes226,936D +23.1
+7,090 votes226,644D +23.1
+824 votes219,554D +22.3
+1,144 votes218,730D +22.2
+1,869 votes217,586D +22.0
+235 votes215,717D +21.8
+3 votes215,482D +21.7
+3,260 votes215,479D +21.7