Illinois · U.S. House

Illinois 4th District

Patty Garcia wins. Called.

89% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Patty Garcia D won	106,642	70.8%
Lupe Castillo R	24,620	16.3%
Chris Getty I	14,076	9.3%
Ed Hershey WC	5,253	3.5%
Total	150,591

203 of 204 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Cook	78,727	D +62.0	—	—	97%
Chicago	56,048	D +76.4	—	—	79%
DuPage	15,816	D +14.3	—	—	94%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 5, 1:00 PM	+14 votes	150,591	D +62.5
Nov 4, 1:34 PM	+209 votes	150,577	D +62.5
Nov 4, 2:21 AM	+2,135 votes	150,368	D +62.5
Nov 3, 10:40 PM	+904 votes	148,233	D +62.2
Nov 3, 10:26 PM	+1 votes	147,329	D +62.2
Nov 3, 10:23 PM	+2,808 votes	147,328	D +62.2
Nov 3, 9:51 PM	+1,930 votes	144,520	D +62.0
Nov 3, 9:39 PM	+660 votes	142,590	D +61.8
Nov 3, 9:26 PM	+4,291 votes	141,930	D +61.7
Nov 3, 9:21 PM	+3,456 votes	137,639	D +61.1
Nov 3, 9:07 PM	+1,474 votes	134,183	D +60.6
Nov 3, 9:03 PM	+4,094 votes	132,709	D +60.5

Forecast

Called.

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	110K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$83K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket >99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +62.5
2024 House	D +42.4
2022 House	D +41.8
2024 President, statewide	D +11.1
Published pre-election estimate	D +35.0

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