Illinois · U.S. House

Illinois 1st District

Jonathan Jackson wins. Called.

89% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Jonathan Jackson D won	153,401	70.3%
Christian Maxwell R	64,739	29.7%
Total	218,140

192 of 192 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Chicago	98,384	D +90.0	—	—	80%
Will	74,537	R +12.5	—	—	97%
Cook	32,444	D +35.0	—	—	97%
Kankakee	12,775	R +15.3	—	—	97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 5, 1:00 PM	+3 votes	218,140	D +40.6
Nov 4, 1:34 PM	+162 votes	218,137	D +40.6
Nov 4, 12:53 PM	+499 votes	217,975	D +40.6
Nov 4, 2:21 AM	+6,364 votes	217,476	D +40.5
Nov 3, 10:40 PM	+1,202 votes	211,112	D +39.1
Nov 3, 10:23 PM	+2,769 votes	209,910	D +38.8
Nov 3, 9:51 PM	+4,757 votes	207,141	D +38.1
Nov 3, 9:39 PM	+2,785 votes	202,384	D +36.9
Nov 3, 9:34 PM	+2,235 votes	199,599	D +36.1
Nov 3, 9:26 PM	+4,866 votes	197,364	D +36.9
Nov 3, 9:21 PM	+1,245 votes	192,498	D +35.6
Nov 3, 9:07 PM	+3,877 votes	191,253	D +35.6

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Jackson +40.6
Votes left: About 24,600
Those votes should favor: Jackson +60.6
Projected finish: Jackson +42.7
80% range: Jackson +40.6 to Jackson +44.8
To catch up: Maxwell needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	14K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$66K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +40.6
2024 House	D +31.7
2022 House	D +34.1
2024 President, statewide	D +11.1
Published pre-election estimate	D +40.0

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