Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท New York

Erie County, New York

2026 election results. Kathy Hochul (D) got 56% of the vote for governor in Erie County. The margin is 1.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Erie County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Erie County

Governor

Kathy Hochul
55.6%194,525
Bruce Blakeman
44.4%155,103
97% counted

Statewide: Kathy Hochul wins. Called.

U.S. House: New York 23rd District

Nick Langworthy
57.3%74,355
Aaron Gies
42.7%55,299
97% counted

Only part of Erie County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Nick Langworthy wins. Called.

U.S. House: New York 26th District

Timothy Kennedy
68.1%147,394
Dennis Hannon
31.9%69,109
97% counted

Only part of Erie County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Timothy Kennedy wins. Called.

The leader in Erie County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 12, 3:30 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
NY GovernorD +11.3D +9.7D +1.6
NY-23 part of the countyR +14.7R +14.6R +0.1
NY-26 part of the countyD +36.2D +23.5D +12.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Erie County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris54.4%Donald Trump44.8%D +9.6457,206
2020Joe Biden56.5%Donald Trump41.7%D +14.7473,443
2016Hillary Clinton50.9%Donald Trump44.5%D +6.4423,625
2012Barack Obama54.9%Mitt Romney36.1%D +18.7414,195
2008Barack Obama58.0%John McCain40.5%D +17.5441,985
2004John Kerry54.0%George W. Bush38.9%D +15.1445,138
2000Al Gore56.6%George W. Bush37.7%D +18.8424,654

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +9.2.

Other counties in New York

New York results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until New York certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. New York's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.