Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Montana

Carbon County, Montana

2026 election results. Kurt Alme (R) got 54% of the U.S. Senate vote in Carbon County.

2026 results in Carbon County

U.S. Senate

Kurt Alme
54.4%3,349
Seth Bodnar
33.2%2,043
Alani Bankhead
10.1%622
Kyle Austin
2.3%141
100% counted

Statewide: Kurt Alme wins. Called.

U.S. House: Montana 2nd District

Troy Downing
60.0%3,681
Brian Miller
29.9%1,834
Michael Eisenhauer
8.2%503
Patrick McCracken
1.9%114
100% counted

Whole district: Troy Downing wins. Called.

The leader in Carbon County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 9, 4:07 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
MT-02R +33.5R +33.5Even

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Carbon County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris32.3%Donald Trump64.7%R +32.47,299
2020Joe Biden34.3%Donald Trump63.4%R +29.07,053
2016Hillary Clinton30.5%Donald Trump62.6%R +32.05,991
2012Barack Obama36.7%Mitt Romney60.4%R +23.75,846
2008Barack Obama42.5%John McCain54.1%R +11.65,750
2004John Kerry34.7%George W. Bush62.8%R +28.15,321
2000Al Gore29.9%George W. Bush62.8%R +32.94,789

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +0.5.

Other counties in Montana

Montana results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Montana certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Montana's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.