Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States · Illinois

Warren County, Illinois

2026 election results. Darren Bailey (R) got 61% of the vote for governor in Warren County. The margin is 2.1 points more Republican than the 2024 presidential vote here. Warren County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Warren County

U.S. Senate

Don Tracy
60.7%3,507
Juliana Stratton
37.7%2,176
Whitfield Harrington
1.6%91
97% counted

Statewide: Juliana Stratton wins. Called.

Governor

Darren Bailey
61.1%3,546
JB Pritzker
34.6%2,007
Collin Corbett
4.2%246
97% counted

Statewide: JB Pritzker wins. Called.

U.S. House: Illinois 15th District

Mary Miller
70.9%1,514
Jennifer Todd
29.1%620
97% counted

Only part of Warren County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Mary Miller wins. Called.

U.S. House: Illinois 17th District

Dillan Vancil
52.3%1,910
Eric Sorensen
47.7%1,745
97% counted

Only part of Warren County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Eric Sorensen wins. Called.

The leader in Warren County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 8:32 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
IL SenateR +23.4R +25.6D +2.2
IL GovernorR +27.7R +25.6R +2.1
IL-15 part of the countyR +41.9——
IL-17 part of the countyR +4.5——

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Warren County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris36.6%Donald Trump61.8%R +25.27,410
2020Joe Biden39.1%Donald Trump59.1%R +20.17,909
2016Hillary Clinton38.3%Donald Trump54.8%R +16.57,807
2012Barack Obama51.9%Mitt Romney46.4%D +5.57,793
2008Barack Obama53.4%John McCain45.3%D +8.18,029
2004John Kerry46.6%George W. Bush52.9%R +6.38,457
2000Al Gore46.2%George W. Bush51.1%R +4.97,631

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +20.3.

Other counties in Illinois

Illinois results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Illinois certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Illinois's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.