Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Oklahoma · U.S. House

Oklahoma 5th District

Stephanie Bice wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Stephanie Bice R won 130,972 49.5%
Jena Nelson D 127,608 48.2%
Robert Henri I 4,024 1.5%
Austin Nieves I 2,043 0.8%
Total264,647

320 of 320 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Oklahoma 181,321 D +11.2 R +4.2 D +15.4 100%
Canadian 31,291 R +14.4 R +37.0 D +22.7 100%
Pottawatomie 20,220 R +32.5 R +48.4 D +16.0 100%
Logan 16,143 R +34.4 R +47.8 D +13.4 100%
Lincoln 10,344 R +51.6 R +64.3 D +12.7 100%
Seminole 5,328 R +36.6 R +50.6 D +14.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Stephanie Bice wins——
+7,935 votes264,647R +1.3
+15,265 votes256,712R +2.1
+8,898 votes241,447R +2.1
+9,130 votes232,549R +1.7
+6,762 votes223,419R +1.6
+2,889 votes216,657R +1.4
+9,377 votes213,768R +1.0
+10,305 votes204,391R +1.0
+11,895 votes194,086R +1.6
+12,520 votes182,191R +1.4
+8,437 votes169,671R +1.7