Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Oklahoma · U.S. House

Oklahoma 4th District

Tom Cole wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tom Cole R won 125,576 57.6%
Mitchell Jacob D 86,051 39.5%
Rocco Bonacci I 6,381 2.9%
Total218,008

360 of 360 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Cleveland 89,762 R +0.5 R +15.3 D +14.7 100%
Comanche 23,976 R +14.5 R +23.8 D +9.3 91%
Oklahoma 20,067 D +15.8 D +0.9 D +14.9 100%
Grady 16,836 R +49.8 R +63.6 D +13.8 100%
McClain 14,847 R +47.1 R +61.7 D +14.6 100%
Carter 12,106 R +39.6 R +55.5 D +15.9 100%
Stephens 12,024 R +54.3 R +64.7 D +10.4 100%
Pontotoc 10,549 R +35.5 R +47.6 D +12.0 100%
Garvin 6,972 R +52.8 R +66.8 D +14.0 100%
Murray 3,831 R +50.4 R +62.6 D +12.2 100%
Love 2,487 R +47.3 R +67.2 D +19.8 100%
Tillman 1,608 R +49.0 R +60.1 D +11.1 100%
Cotton 1,540 R +59.7 R +68.1 D +8.4 100%
Jefferson 1,403 R +63.5 R +72.7 D +9.2 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,053 votes218,008R +18.7
+14,364 votes213,955R +19.5
+84 votes199,591R +19.2
+1,839 votes199,507R +19.3
+2,169 votes197,668R +19.1
+517 votes195,499R +19.1
+471 votes194,982R +19.1
+479 votes194,511R +19.2
+710 votes194,032R +19.2
+69,539 votes193,322R +19.1
+980 votes123,783R +26.8
+450 votes122,803R +26.6