Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Mississippi · U.S. House

Mississippi 1st District

Trent Kelly wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Trent Kelly R won 139,655 58.3%
Cliff Johnson D 96,518 40.3%
Johnny Baucom L 3,333 1.4%
Total239,506

0 of 17 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:06 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
DeSoto 54,095 D +2.5 R +24.7 D +27.2 100%
Lee 24,928 R +24.2 R +39.3 D +15.1 100%
Lowndes 21,158 D +10.5 R +8.2 D +18.8 100%
Lafayette 17,218 R +3.3 R +22.1 D +18.8 100%
Monroe 12,716 R +17.8 R +36.2 D +18.4 100%
Marshall 11,500 D +13.4 R +7.3 D +20.7 100%
Alcorn 11,132 R +57.7 R +68.9 D +11.2 100%
Pontotoc 10,197 R +54.0 R +68.3 D +14.3 100%
Tate 9,197 R +23.0 R +44.2 D +21.2 100%
Union 8,960 R +59.0 R +70.8 D +11.8 100%
Clay 8,537 D +28.7 D +10.5 D +18.2 100%
Tippah 7,430 R +54.2 R +67.5 D +13.3 100%
Prentiss 7,259 R +55.1 R +66.5 D +11.4 100%
Itawamba 7,222 R +72.9 R +80.5 D +7.6 100%
Tishomingo 6,300 R +70.2 R +79.5 D +9.3 100%
Chickasaw 6,290 D +2.9 R +13.8 D +16.7 100%
Calhoun 4,576 R +33.3 R +48.3 D +15.1 100%
Webster 3,883 R +54.4 R +65.6 D +11.2 100%
Choctaw 2,992 R +36.4 R +49.8 D +13.5 100%
Benton 2,778 R +12.7 R +31.6 D +18.9 100%
Oktibbeha 1,138 R +40.8 R +53.2 D +12.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+63 votes239,506R +18.3
+208 votes239,443R +18.3
+70 votes239,235R +18.3
+122 votes239,165R +18.3
+3,793 votes239,043R +18.3
+7,259 votes235,250R +18.1
+14,026 votes227,991R +16.9
+18,734 votes213,965R +18.7
+1,313 votes195,231R +18.9
+4,607 votes193,918R +19.1
+8,960 votes189,311R +20.4
+631 votes180,351R +18.5