Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Maryland · U.S. House

Maryland 3rd District

Sarah Elfreth wins. Called.

85% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Sarah Elfreth D won 173,856 65.4%
Bernard Flowers R 91,863 34.6%
Total265,719

642 of 642 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Anne Arundel 141,928 D +18.5 D +11.9 D +6.6 86%
Howard 115,374 D +49.6 D +43.3 D +6.3 83%
Carroll 8,417 R +16.7 R +22.8 D +6.2 94%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+708 votes265,719D +30.9
+5 votes265,011D +30.8
+97 votes265,006D +30.8
+1,592 votes264,909D +30.8
+9,065 votes263,317D +30.7
+13,629 votes254,252D +31.2
+1,289 votes240,623D +32.3
+6,856 votes239,334D +32.1
+6,514 votes232,478D +32.4
+10,410 votes225,964D +32.9
+12,204 votes215,554D +34.4
+5,600 votes203,350D +36.1