Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Maryland · U.S. House

Maryland 1st District

Andy Harris wins. Called.

92% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Andy Harris R won 155,509 54.6%
Dan Schwartz D 129,479 45.4%
Total284,988

927 of 927 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 4:09 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Harford 96,627 R +6.5 R +14.2 D +7.6 88%
Wicomico 32,113 D +5.2 R +5.6 D +10.8 99%
Cecil 31,446 R +20.0 R +31.5 D +11.6 90%
Queen Anne's 23,875 R +16.1 R +28.4 D +12.2 98%
Worcester 23,156 R +15.3 R +22.5 D +7.1 90%
Baltimore 22,122 R +15.6 R +16.6 D +1.0 98%
Talbot 16,436 D +4.3 Even D +4.4 87%
Dorchester 12,473 R +8.2 R +14.9 D +6.7 100%
Caroline 11,499 R +27.6 R +38.9 D +11.3 100%
Kent 8,175 D +5.3 R +2.9 D +8.2 90%
Somerset 7,066 R +17.0 R +17.8 D +0.7 97%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,413 votes284,988R +9.1
+2,967 votes282,575R +9.5
+1,618 votes279,608R +10.1
+2,457 votes277,990R +10.4
+1,289 votes275,533R +10.7
+1,127 votes274,244R +10.9
+2,066 votes273,117R +11.2
+862 votes271,051R +11.6
+486 votes270,189R +11.7
Andy Harris wins——
+2,806 votes269,703R +11.7
+1,527 votes266,897R +10.8