Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Maryland

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +8.1 since 2024. D +6.0 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 16 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
GovernorD +1.6R +2.5
District 1D +15.4D +4.2
District 2D +4.5D +4.9
District 3D +9.4D +11.0
District 4D +9.2D +6.0
District 5D +2.1D +6.1
District 6D +9.6D +6.5
District 7D +2.6D +2.9
District 8D +10.2D +5.1

Statewide

Governor

Wes Moore won
62.9%1,205,185
Dan Cox
33.1%633,931
Andy Ellis
2.1%39,651
88% counted

Congress

District 1

Andy Harris won
53.7%158,419
Dan Schwartz
46.3%136,599
96% counted

District 2

John Olszewski won
61.8%148,832
Dave Wallace
38.2%92,090
86% counted

District 3

Sarah Elfreth won
65.7%178,506
Bernard Flowers
34.3%93,020
87% counted

District 4

Glenn Ivey won
89.1%148,803
George McDermott
6.4%10,624
Sam Husseini
4.5%7,592
88% counted

District 5

Adrian Boafo won
69.1%193,683
Chris Chaffee
30.9%86,755
97% counted

District 6

April McClain-Delaney won
56.5%136,724
Robin Ficker
40.8%98,781
Moshe Landman
2.7%6,542
85% counted

District 7

Kweisi Mfume won
83.7%143,908
Scott Collier
16.3%28,030
80% counted

District 8

Jamie Raskin won
82.7%199,583
Cheryl Riley
15.6%37,787
Nancy Wallace
1.7%4,107
89% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Montgomery317,78687%D +11.5D +6.2
Baltimore244,63384%D +5.6D +4.5
Prince George's242,35292%D +8.3D +4.2
Anne Arundel207,68791%D +7.3D +10.3
Baltimore128,33182%D +7.3D +3.2
Howard115,37484%D +6.3D +12.4
Harford106,65797%D +12.2D +7.6
Frederick96,01284%D +7.3D +5.7
Carroll70,43592%D +8.2D +9.9
Charles58,739100%D +7.7D +10.6
Washington48,27493%D +13.8D +7.5
St. Mary's38,95897%D +5.3D +7.5
Calvert37,62494%D +5.3D +5.9
Wicomico32,11399%D +10.8D +8.8
Cecil31,44690%D +11.6D +2.9
Queen Anne's23,87598%D +12.2D +2.1
Worcester23,15690%D +7.2D +3.1
Allegany20,64689%D +12.5D +0.9
Talbot16,43688%D +4.4R +2.2
Dorchester12,473100%D +6.7D +2.1
Caroline11,499100%D +11.3D +1.3
Garrett10,63888%D +7.2D +2.9
Kent8,17590%D +8.2R +7.0
Somerset7,06697%D +0.7D +5.7