Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Indiana · U.S. House

Indiana 8th District

Mark Messmer wins. Called.

94% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mark Messmer R won 117,667 55.2%
Mary Allen D 95,465 44.8%
Total213,132

28 of 28 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Vanderburgh 48,446 D +13.2 R +12.8 D +26.0 96%
Vigo 27,456 D +7.9 R +18.5 D +26.4 95%
Warrick 20,830 R +5.5 R +30.7 D +25.2 100%
Dubois 14,634 R +8.5 R +43.2 D +34.7 100%
Knox 9,544 R +30.8 R +51.2 D +20.5 87%
Gibson 9,130 R +28.0 R +52.3 D +24.4 100%
Greene 8,952 R +31.1 R +54.6 D +23.5 100%
Posey 8,063 R +19.8 R +44.1 D +24.3 86%
Clay 7,035 R +36.3 R +57.9 D +21.6 86%
Spencer 6,660 R +22.6 R +44.2 D +21.5 82%
Daviess 6,623 R +42.4 R +65.2 D +22.8 88%
Perry 6,394 R +0.8 R +30.3 D +29.5 100%
Sullivan 6,251 R +23.9 R +53.6 D +29.7 90%
Owen 5,924 R +29.1 R +51.5 D +22.4 89%
Orange 5,118 R +33.6 R +53.0 D +19.4 100%
Vermillion 4,445 R +9.5 R +45.7 D +36.2 80%
Parke 4,321 R +35.8 R +58.0 D +22.2 90%
Pike 3,757 R +34.4 R +55.6 D +21.2 96%
Martin 3,466 R +30.7 R +61.9 D +31.2 100%
Fountain 3,129 R +49.2 R +63.2 D +14.0 98%
Crawford 2,954 R +26.3 R +49.6 D +23.3 73%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+275 votes213,132R +10.4
+2,697 votes212,857R +10.4
+1,710 votes210,160R +10.4
+10,151 votes208,450R +10.2
Count revised by -235 votes198,299R +8.9
+2,137 votes198,534R +8.8
+1,561 votes196,397R +8.4
+450 votes194,836R +8.1
+19,383 votes194,386R +8.3
+6,981 votes175,003R +8.0
+2,749 votes168,022R +7.4
+6,394 votes165,273R +7.1