Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Indiana · U.S. House

Indiana 3rd District

Marlin Stutzman wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Marlin Stutzman R won 112,512 55.0%
Kelly Thompson D 91,941 45.0%
Total204,453

278 of 278 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 4:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Allen 104,978 D +10.4 R +12.7 D +23.1 100%
DeKalb 11,706 R +27.5 R +47.9 D +20.4 94%
Whitley 10,920 R +32.4 R +50.9 D +18.5 89%
LaGrange 10,834 R +32.2 R +57.8 D +25.5 100%
Huntington 10,826 R +30.1 R +49.3 D +19.1 90%
Noble 10,745 R +28.8 R +52.2 D +23.4 88%
Steuben 10,605 R +27.4 R +42.8 D +15.4 97%
Wells 8,514 R +43.1 R +58.9 D +15.8 88%
Adams 8,403 R +33.6 R +53.6 D +20.0 100%
Kosciusko 4,927 R +33.4 R +51.9 D +18.5 100%
Jay 4,790 R +34.1 R +56.1 D +22.1 83%
Randolph 4,192 R +29.2 R +50.1 D +20.9 82%
Blackford 3,013 R +33.1 R +51.3 D +18.2 82%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+32 votes204,453R +10.1
+68 votes204,421R +10.0
+878 votes204,353R +10.1
+1,616 votes203,475R +9.7
+2,774 votes201,859R +10.0
+417 votes199,085R +9.7
+53,300 votes198,668R +9.6
+3,137 votes145,368R +11.3
+10,745 votes142,231R +10.5
+8,514 votes131,486R +9.0
+2,149 votes122,972R +6.7
+435 votes120,823R +6.0