Indiana · U.S. House

Indiana 7th District

Andre Carson wins. Called.

99% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Andre Carson D won	159,211	77.0%
Patrick McAuley R	42,208	20.4%
James Sceniak L	5,452	2.6%
Total	206,871

182 of 182 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 4:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Marion	206,871	D +58.1	D +42.2	D +15.9	100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 4, 4:16 PM	+2,769 votes	206,871	D +58.1
Nov 3, 11:03 PM	+13,660 votes	204,102	D +58.4
Nov 3, 9:18 PM	+83,650 votes	190,442	D +57.2
Nov 3, 8:29 PM	+23,111 votes	106,792	D +48.8
Nov 3, 7:37 PM	+19,040 votes	83,681	D +47.4
Nov 3, 6:56 PM	+19,132 votes	64,641	D +46.8
Nov 3, 6:41 PM	+26 votes	45,509	D +44.3
Nov 3, 6:35 PM	+8,738 votes	45,483	D +44.3
Nov 3, 6:07 PM	+24,482 votes	36,745	D +43.7
Nov 3, 5:45 PM	+12,263 votes	12,263	D +44.7

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Carson +58.1
Votes left: About 0
Projected finish: Carson +58.1
80% range: Carson +57.7 to Carson +58.4

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	23K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$47K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 98% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +58.1
2024 House	D +40.5
2022 House	D +37.3
2024 President, statewide	R +19.3
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +15.9
Published pre-election estimate	D +48.0

Also in Indiana

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