Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Indiana · U.S. House

Indiana 4th District

Jim Baird wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jim Baird R won 115,014 54.2%
Drew Cox D 97,142 45.8%
Total212,156

0 of 53 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Hendricks 55,079 D +0.9 R +21.9 D +22.7 100%
Tippecanoe 43,756 D +20.6 R +0.2 D +20.7 100%
Boone 28,062 D +2.1 R +16.3 D +18.4 100%
Morgan 20,091 R +35.4 R +55.3 D +19.9 100%
Montgomery 9,931 R +29.2 R +49.1 D +19.9 100%
Putnam 9,672 R +30.3 R +52.9 D +22.6 91%
Jasper 9,235 R +36.0 R +55.2 D +19.1 93%
Clinton 7,293 R +28.0 R +48.8 D +20.8 93%
White 6,926 R +31.0 R +46.0 D +15.0 100%
Cass 5,479 R +16.9 R +38.9 D +22.0 97%
Carroll 5,465 R +36.1 R +53.0 D +16.9 83%
Newton 3,751 R +41.0 R +57.9 D +16.9 87%
Warren 2,792 R +45.6 R +58.2 D +12.6 93%
Benton 2,292 R +32.5 R +48.0 D +15.4 87%
Fountain 1,949 R +43.0 R +58.0 D +14.9 92%
Howard 383 R +47.3 R +55.6 D +8.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1 votes212,156R +8.4
+1,841 votes212,155R +8.4
+1 votes210,314R +8.8
+2,291 votes210,313R +8.8
+9,780 votes208,022R +8.6
+2,654 votes198,242R +6.6
+7,074 votes195,588R +6.9
+9,931 votes188,514R +6.7
+1,919 votes178,583R +5.4
+1,949 votes176,664R +5.7
+5,795 votes174,715R +5.3
+3,135 votes168,920R +5.3