Hawaii · Governor

Hawaii Governor

Joshua Green wins. Called.

85% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Joshua Green D won	278,652	72.6%
Gary Cordery R	104,926	27.4%
Total	383,578

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 10:00 PM.

By county

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Honolulu	248,995	D +43.9	D +22.0	D +21.8	84%
Hawaii	61,610	D +48.9	D +28.9	D +20.0	89%
Maui	49,110	D +46.4	D +26.5	D +19.9	87%
Kauai	23,863	D +48.3	D +19.9	D +28.4	89%
UOCAVA	0	—	—	—	0%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 5, 12:55 AM	+24,785 votes	383,578	D +45.3
Nov 4, 12:21 PM	+33,991 votes	358,793	D +46.8
Nov 4, 10:43 AM	+5,108 votes	324,802	D +48.4
Nov 4, 8:12 AM	+9,558 votes	319,694	D +48.7
Nov 4, 5:42 AM	+7,112 votes	310,136	D +49.4
Nov 4, 12:17 AM	+10,619 votes	303,024	D +49.9
Nov 4, 12:16 AM	+1,457 votes	292,405	D +51.3
Nov 4, 12:16 AM	+35,511 votes	290,948	D +51.6
Nov 3, 11:31 PM	Joshua Green wins	—	—
Nov 3, 11:21 PM	+34,869 votes	255,437	D +54.2
Nov 3, 11:20 PM	+48,562 votes	220,568	D +54.0
Nov 3, 11:20 PM	+17,298 votes	172,006	D +53.1

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Green +45.3
Votes left: About 65,800
Those votes should favor: Green +33.6
Projected finish: Green +43.6
80% range: Green +40.9 to Green +46.2
To catch up: Cordery needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	121K contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$32K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 7:57 PM. Polymarket 99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +45.3
2024 President	D +23.6
2022 Governor	D +26.3
Shift from 2024 president same places	D +21.7
Published pre-election estimate	D +34.0

Also in Hawaii

All Hawaii

HI-01 HI-02