Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Hawaii

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +1.2 since 2024. D +4.9 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 25 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Statewide

Governor

Joshua Green won
72.6%278,652
Gary Cordery
27.4%104,926
85% counted

Congress

District 1

Ed Case won
71.8%126,022
Adriel Lam
22.9%40,235
Jordan Conley
4.0%6,977
83% counted

District 2

Jill Tokuda won
66.5%129,528
Brenton Awa
33.5%65,189
85% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Honolulu241,25283%D +21.2D +3.1
Hawaii60,42889%D +11.9D +7.2
Maui46,10984%D +11.6D +8.5
Kauai22,50386%D +15.0D +3.2