Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Hawaii · U.S. House

Hawaii 2nd District

Jill Tokuda wins. Called.

85% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jill Tokuda D won 129,528 66.5%
Brenton Awa R 65,189 33.5%
Edward Codelia NP 0 0.0%
Total194,717

Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 10:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Honolulu 65,677 D +21.7 D +13.6 D +8.1 82%
Hawaii 60,428 D +40.9 D +28.9 D +11.9 89%
Maui 46,109 D +38.0 D +26.5 D +11.5 84%
Kauai 22,503 D +34.9 D +19.9 D +15.0 86%
UOCAVA 0 — — — 0%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+6,681 votes194,717D +33.0
+9,861 votes188,036D +34.2
+4,844 votes178,175D +35.8
+9,444 votes173,331D +36.4
+6,754 votes163,887D +37.2
+10,266 votes157,133D +37.9
+1,410 votes146,867D +40.2
+9,184 votes145,457D +40.7
+32,531 votes136,273D +42.4
+47,542 votes103,742D +41.1
+16,249 votes56,200D +35.1
+39,951 votes39,951D +30.9