Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Georgia · U.S. House

Georgia 12th District

Rick Allen wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Rick Allen R won 140,843 52.1%
Ceretta Smith D 129,500 47.9%
Total270,343

234 of 234 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Columbia 67,456 R +15.1 R +25.8 D +10.8 100%
Richmond 66,472 D +45.7 D +36.3 D +9.4 100%
Bulloch 24,594 R +18.1 R +29.1 D +11.0 100%
Laurens 18,050 R +24.9 R +32.8 D +7.9 100%
Burke 8,654 D +2.4 R +9.4 D +11.8 100%
McDuffie 8,255 R +15.7 R +25.0 D +9.3 100%
Washington 7,828 D +2.7 R +1.9 D +4.6 100%
Toombs 7,726 R +40.0 R +50.9 D +10.8 100%
Emanuel 7,298 R +36.3 R +44.3 D +8.0 100%
Effingham 7,220 R +38.7 R +50.6 D +11.9 100%
Tattnall 6,178 R +45.3 R +53.6 D +8.4 100%
Jefferson 5,942 D +4.9 R +1.2 D +6.1 100%
Screven 5,164 R +19.0 R +25.3 D +6.3 100%
Lincoln 3,861 R +39.8 R +45.0 D +5.2 100%
Candler 3,384 R +37.9 R +47.6 D +9.7 100%
Wilkes 3,352 R +6.2 R +11.7 D +5.5 100%
Evans 3,110 R +36.8 R +42.5 D +5.7 100%
Johnson 3,040 R +42.8 R +46.4 D +3.6 100%
Montgomery 2,948 R +45.3 R +53.2 D +7.9 100%
Jenkins 2,516 R +21.9 R +30.6 D +8.7 100%
Treutlen 2,224 R +36.8 R +44.5 D +7.7 100%
Warren 2,073 D +9.0 D +4.7 D +4.3 100%
Wheeler 1,784 R +40.4 R +45.2 D +4.8 100%
Glascock 1,214 R +83.2 R +84.0 D +0.8 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2 votes270,343R +4.2
+3,675 votes270,341R +4.2
+431 votes266,666R +3.7
+2,897 votes266,235R +3.8
+751 votes263,338R +3.4
+1,832 votes262,587R +3.3
Rick Allen wins——
+1,567 votes260,755R +3.4
+3,688 votes259,188R +3.3
+15,314 votes255,500R +3.1
+1,890 votes240,186R +4.5
+7,583 votes238,296R +4.4