Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Connecticut · U.S. House

Connecticut 5th District

Jahana Hayes wins. Called.

89% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jahana Hayes D won 138,333 56.6%
Chris Shea R 106,117 43.4%
Total244,450

169 of 169 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By town

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Danbury 20,797 D +24.1 — — 93%
Waterbury 17,032 D +30.5 — — 91%
Meriden 15,128 D +24.6 — — 89%
New Britain 13,598 D +41.5 — — 88%
Cheshire 12,813 D +14.5 — — 88%
Newtown 12,703 D +13.3 — — 91%
Simsbury 11,946 D +31.3 — — 88%
Farmington 11,582 D +24.4 — — 89%
New Milford 11,143 D +3.7 — — 92%
Southbury 9,777 D +4.9 — — 90%
Watertown 9,126 R +27.8 — — 88%
Avon 8,819 D +25.1 — — 91%
Bethel 7,935 D +17.6 — — 92%
Brookfield 7,638 D +5.2 — — 90%
Wolcott 6,803 R +28.8 — — 85%
Plainville 6,696 D +6.2 — — 88%
New Fairfield 5,702 R +3.7 — — 87%
Canton 5,075 D +19.4 — — 90%
Woodbury 5,002 D +0.4 — — 92%
Burlington 4,858 R +2.8 — — 91%
Plymouth 4,399 R +21.4 — — 89%
Litchfield 4,140 D +4.6 — — 87%
Torrington 4,061 D +1.9 — — 78%
Middlebury 3,857 R +11.0 — — 92%
Thomaston 3,177 R +30.3 — — 89%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
Count revised by -9,185 votes244,450D +13.2
+8 votes253,635D +15.3
+10 votes253,627D +15.3
+14,361 votes253,617D +15.3
+13,061 votes239,256D +16.0
+49 votes226,195D +16.0
+63 votes226,146D +16.0
+3 votes226,083D +16.0
+1,473 votes226,080D +16.0
+7,768 votes224,607D +15.8
+14,243 votes216,839D +16.1
+14,445 votes202,596D +14.1