Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Connecticut

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +8.5 since 2024. D +11.3 since 2022.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
GovernorD +4.7D +6.5
District 1D +7.6D +12.5
District 2D +11.4D +9.0
District 3D +6.9D +8.1
District 4D +9.6D +14.9
District 5D +6.4D +12.4

Statewide

Governor

Ned Lamont won
59.8%735,311
Ryan Fazio
40.2%495,302
88% counted

Congress

District 1

Luke Bronin won
67.1%170,241
Amy Chai
31.2%79,137
Mary Sanders
1.7%4,418
94% counted

District 2

Joe Courtney won
63.7%180,882
George Austin
36.3%103,097
91% counted

District 3

Rosa DeLauro won
60.5%144,673
Christopher Lancia
36.5%87,378
Thomas Egan
3.0%7,150
90% counted

District 4

Jim Himes won
65.6%157,361
Michael Goldstein
32.5%78,033
Benjamin Wesley
1.9%4,590
94% counted

District 5

Jahana Hayes won
56.6%138,333
Chris Shea
43.4%106,117
89% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Fairfield320,26994%D +10.3D +14.6
Hartford312,68293%D +12.3D +12.4
New Haven276,42189%D +9.6D +8.9
New London100,81293%D +21.7D +10.8
Litchfield77,43288%D +7.0D +9.5
Middlesex74,81390%D +13.1D +8.5
Tolland59,32592%D +18.2D +8.7
Windham36,40190%D +24.3D +7.9