Connecticut 2nd District

Joe Courtney wins. Called.

91% counted

Candidate	Votes	Share
Joe Courtney D won	180,882	63.7%
George Austin R	103,097	36.3%
Total	283,979

157 of 157 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By town

Place	Votes	Margin	2024 president	Shift	Counted
Enfield	13,989	D +24.4	—	—	92%
Groton	12,164	D +48.3	—	—	95%
Vernon	10,600	D +37.3	—	—	94%
Glastonbury	10,568	D +36.8	—	—	88%
Norwich	10,043	D +40.3	—	—	96%
Waterford	9,285	D +33.8	—	—	95%
Madison	9,280	D +33.5	—	—	88%
East Lyme	9,178	D +42.3	—	—	92%
Stonington	9,146	D +46.7	—	—	90%
Colchester	7,141	D +28.0	—	—	92%
Ellington	6,867	D +20.4	—	—	90%
Tolland	6,820	D +26.2	—	—	92%
Mansfield	6,366	D +68.9	—	—	100%
Montville	6,273	D +20.9	—	—	93%
Clinton	6,161	D +22.3	—	—	82%
Ledyard	6,112	D +30.9	—	—	96%
Suffield	6,094	D +14.3	—	—	91%
East Hampton	6,066	D +18.4	—	—	90%
Coventry	5,821	D +16.7	—	—	92%
New London	5,808	D +67.0	—	—	100%
Old Saybrook	5,652	D +30.1	—	—	91%
Windham	5,500	D +44.8	—	—	98%
Killingly	5,428	D +7.2	—	—	89%
Hebron	4,646	D +20.9	—	—	90%
Plainfield	4,624	D +3.3	—	—	85%
Stafford	4,572	D +7.6	—	—	90%
East Haddam	4,486	D +15.5	—	—	91%
Old Lyme	4,336	D +31.7	—	—	92%
Haddam	4,328	D +9.7	—	—	91%
Somers	4,102	D +0.8	—	—	93%
Griswold	3,956	D +10.6	—	—	88%
Woodstock	3,866	D +18.0	—	—	92%
Essex	3,636	D +42.1	—	—	90%
Thompson	3,402	R +2.4	—	—	89%
Killingworth	3,346	D +18.6	—	—	89%
Westbrook	3,310	D +17.5	—	—	90%
Lebanon	3,298	D +12.8	—	—	89%
Brooklyn	3,255	D +15.5	—	—	94%
Marlborough	2,998	D +22.9	—	—	81%
Putnam	2,963	D +16.4	—	—	92%
Columbia	2,809	D +19.7	—	—	93%
North Stonington	2,576	D +18.6	—	—	96%
Bolton	2,439	D +20.9	—	—	90%
Willington	2,322	D +18.9	—	—	91%
Canterbury	2,271	R +5.5	—	—	91%
Deep River	2,256	D +35.3	—	—	92%
Preston	2,065	D +14.5	—	—	87%
Chester	2,016	D +45.9	—	—	94%
Salem	2,010	D +12.7	—	—	86%
Ashford	1,892	D +25.1	—	—	89%
Pomfret	1,866	D +26.5	—	—	90%
Lisbon	1,751	D +14.2	—	—	89%
Andover	1,540	D +16.0	—	—	86%
Lyme	1,354	D +42.5	—	—	89%
Sterling	1,240	R +16.6	—	—	83%
Bozrah	1,181	D +11.8	—	—	93%
Sprague	1,124	D +14.9	—	—	93%
Voluntown	1,115	D +3.5	—	—	90%
Chaplin	949	D +13.4	—	—	90%
Franklin	896	D +14.5	—	—	90%
Hampton	871	D +14.8	—	—	89%
Eastford	820	D +7.6	—	—	92%
Scotland	709	R +2.7	—	—	87%
Union	421	D +12.1	—	—	88%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

Time	Update	Total votes	Margin
Nov 5, 1:43 PM	Count revised by -6,737 votes	283,979	D +27.4
Nov 5, 1:17 PM	+26 votes	290,716	D +24.5
Nov 4, 6:00 PM	+9,467 votes	290,690	D +24.5
Nov 4, 5:07 PM	+12,400 votes	281,223	D +24.2
Nov 4, 1:58 PM	+47 votes	268,823	D +23.3
Nov 4, 1:40 PM	+768 votes	268,776	D +23.2
Nov 4, 1:27 PM	+2 votes	268,008	D +23.3
Nov 4, 12:46 PM	+1,222 votes	268,006	D +23.3
Nov 4, 12:40 PM	+212 votes	266,784	D +23.0
Nov 4, 12:35 PM	+1 votes	266,572	D +23.0
Nov 4, 12:22 PM	+4,073 votes	266,571	D +23.0
Nov 4, 12:16 PM	+5,575 votes	262,498	D +22.4

Forecast

Called.

Lead now: Courtney +27.4
Votes left: About 26,600
Those votes should favor: Courtney +32.1
Projected finish: Courtney +27.8
80% range: Courtney +26.0 to Courtney +29.5
To catch up: Austin needs more votes than remain

Prediction markets

Market	Democrat wins	Traded
Kalshi	>99%	4,660 contracts
Polymarket	>99%	$23K

Chance a Democrat wins since Nov 3, 5:55 PM. Polymarket 99% · Kalshi >99%

Against past results

This year so far	D +27.4
2024 House	D +16.0
2022 House	D +18.3
2024 President, statewide	D +14.8
Published pre-election estimate	D +25.0

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