Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Connecticut · U.S. House

Connecticut 1st District

Luke Bronin wins. Called.

94% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Luke Bronin D won 170,241 67.1%
Amy Chai R 79,137 31.2%
Mary Sanders G 4,418 1.7%
Total253,796

150 of 150 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By town

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
West Hartford 26,762 D +61.4 — — 93%
Bristol 20,633 D +15.2 — — 95%
Southington 20,219 D +8.7 — — 93%
Manchester 19,492 D +48.1 — — 97%
Hartford 17,997 D +82.3 — — 100%
Newington 12,924 D +22.7 — — 96%
Windsor 12,795 D +58.3 — — 99%
East Hartford 12,733 D +54.5 — — 100%
Wethersfield 11,875 D +31.4 — — 92%
South Windsor 10,947 D +35.8 — — 90%
Bloomfield 9,405 D +76.9 — — 100%
Berlin 9,197 D +7.6 — — 90%
Middletown 8,910 D +50.1 — — 100%
Rocky Hill 7,719 D +25.1 — — 90%
Torrington 7,382 R +2.6 — — 96%
Cromwell 6,514 D +23.9 — — 82%
Granby 5,780 D +22.1 — — 94%
Glastonbury 5,467 D +40.2 — — 88%
Windsor Locks 4,792 D +23.7 — — 93%
Portland 4,479 D +20.1 — — 80%
East Windsor 4,222 D +17.2 — — 88%
Winchester 3,952 D +0.7 — — 85%
New Hartford 3,447 D +1.5 — — 88%
East Granby 2,543 D +20.8 — — 95%
Barkhamsted 1,877 D +5.8 — — 95%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+37 votes253,796D +36.5
+126 votes253,759D +36.5
+14,224 votes253,633D +36.5
+1 votes239,409D +33.9
+1 votes239,408D +33.9
+4,256 votes239,407D +33.9
+11,540 votes235,151D +33.0
+22 votes223,611D +31.9
+47 votes223,589D +31.9
+15 votes223,542D +31.9
+7,035 votes223,527D +31.9
+8,891 votes216,492D +31.8