Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Indiana

Warren County, Indiana

2026 election results. Jim Baird (R) got 73% of the Indiana 4th District vote in Warren County. The margin is 12.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Warren County

The leader in Warren County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 5, 12:08 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
IN-04R +45.6R +58.2D +12.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Warren County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris20.5%Donald Trump78.0%R +57.54,350
2020Joe Biden21.8%Donald Trump76.1%R +54.34,471
2016Hillary Clinton21.3%Donald Trump73.7%R +52.43,930
2012Barack Obama34.8%Mitt Romney62.6%R +27.73,800
2008Barack Obama43.9%John McCain54.2%R +10.33,998
2004John Kerry34.2%George W. Bush64.8%R +30.53,960
2000Al Gore39.0%George W. Bush58.9%R +19.83,768

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +37.7.

Other counties in Indiana

Indiana results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Indiana certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Indiana's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.