Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Alaska

3 races undecided, about 70% counted. The state's House vote has moved R +73.3 since 2024. R +74.0 since 2022.

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Mary Peltola 81% chance
48.2%102,962
Dan Sullivan
47.9%102,325
Gerald Heikes
2.3%4,846
70% counted

Governor

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 99% chance
49.1%103,837
Bernadette Wilson
29.2%61,734
Dave Bronson
14.2%30,003
69% counted

Congress

At large

Nick Begich 99% chance
49.6%105,647
Bill Hill 1% chance
40.4%86,023
Eric Hafner
7.3%15,550
71% counted

Counties