Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

South Dakota

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +16.1 since 2024.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
GovernorD +2.9D +0.6
At largeD +16.1—

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Mike Rounds won
60.5%184,589
Brian Bengs
39.5%120,509
95% counted

Governor

Larry Rhoden won
63.5%193,334
Dan Ahlers
36.5%111,157
95% counted

Congress

At large

Marty Jackley won
64.0%195,588
Nicole Gronli
36.0%109,993
96% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Minnehaha67,033100%D +5.3—
Pennington38,20977%D +3.2—
Lincoln26,318100%D +3.7—
Brown12,008100%R +1.9—
Brookings11,463100%R +1.7—
Lawrence10,840100%D +2.3—
Meade9,991100%D +1.9—
Codington9,862100%D +2.2—
Yankton7,693100%D +1.6—
Hughes6,447100%R +6.2—
Davison6,033100%R +1.6—
Union5,805100%D +6.9—
Beadle4,817100%R +4.2—
Custer4,657100%D +0.1—
Lake4,410100%R +4.8—
Clay4,066100%D +3.7—
Butte3,44176%D +1.9—
Fall River3,265100%D +0.7—
Turner3,233100%D +0.2—
Roberts2,967100%D +1.0—
Grant2,897100%R +1.2—
Charles Mix2,658100%D +3.2—
Hutchinson2,534100%R +1.0—
Moody2,464100%D +2.2—
Day2,252100%R +0.7—
Spink2,246100%R +4.8—
Oglala Lakota2,222100%R +0.4—
Hamlin2,220100%D +1.8—
McCook2,159100%R +0.2—
Bon Homme2,137100%D +1.8—
Kingsbury2,054100%R +3.3—
Tripp1,926100%R +2.8—
Brule1,759100%D +0.4—
Deuel1,67877%D +0.6—
Marshall1,656100%R +3.9—
Todd1,64078%R +2.5—
Walworth1,634100%R +2.3—
Gregory1,568100%D +3.0—
Clark1,529100%R +7.5—
Edmunds1,430100%D +4.3—
Stanley1,312100%R +3.1—
Dewey1,276100%R +0.2—
Hand1,264100%R +7.3—
Perkins1,255100%D +1.1—
Douglas1,238100%R +2.7—
Hanson1,178100%D +3.6—
Lyman1,114100%D +0.5—
McPherson988100%R +4.0—
Aurora963100%D +8.3—
Potter918100%R +1.2—
Miner887100%R +2.5—
Bennett835100%D +2.6—
Haakon833100%D +2.2—
Sanborn825100%D +11.2—
Faulk816100%R +3.0—
Jackson773100%R +0.9—
Corson726100%D +3.3—
Sully709100%R +8.4—
Jerauld690100%R +8.3—
Harding657100%D +1.7—
Mellette602100%R +8.5—
Campbell598100%R +1.0—
Ziebach570100%D +2.6—
Hyde507100%R +6.6—
Jones450100%D +3.9—
Buffalo376100%R +15.7—