Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

South Dakota · U.S. House

South Dakota at-large

Marty Jackley wins. Called.

96% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Marty Jackley R won 195,588 64.0%
Nicole Gronli D 109,993 36.0%
Total305,581

669 of 671 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:57 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Minnehaha 67,033 R +7.7 R +13.0 D +5.3 100%
Pennington 38,209 R +23.9 R +27.2 D +3.2 77%
Lincoln 26,318 R +23.4 R +27.1 D +3.7 100%
Brown 12,008 R +29.2 R +27.3 R +1.8 100%
Brookings 11,463 R +19.6 R +17.8 R +1.7 100%
Lawrence 10,840 R +29.9 R +32.2 D +2.3 100%
Meade 9,991 R +50.3 R +52.2 D +1.9 100%
Codington 9,862 R +39.6 R +41.8 D +2.2 100%
Yankton 7,693 R +24.7 R +26.3 D +1.6 100%
Hughes 6,447 R +37.1 R +30.9 R +6.2 100%
Davison 6,033 R +40.3 R +38.7 R +1.6 100%
Union 5,805 R +34.6 R +41.5 D +6.9 100%
Beadle 4,817 R +45.2 R +41.0 R +4.2 100%
Custer 4,657 R +46.6 R +46.7 D +0.1 100%
Lake 4,410 R +36.5 R +31.8 R +4.8 100%
Clay 4,066 D +10.4 D +6.7 D +3.7 100%
Butte 3,441 R +60.1 R +62.1 D +1.9 76%
Fall River 3,265 R +49.8 R +50.5 D +0.7 100%
Turner 3,233 R +52.5 R +52.7 D +0.2 100%
Roberts 2,967 R +22.4 R +23.4 D +1.0 100%
Grant 2,897 R +47.7 R +46.6 R +1.2 100%
Charles Mix 2,658 R +40.5 R +43.7 D +3.2 100%
Hutchinson 2,534 R +59.9 R +58.9 R +1.0 100%
Moody 2,464 R +30.4 R +32.6 D +2.2 100%
Day 2,252 R +31.2 R +30.5 R +0.7 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2 votes305,581R +28.0
+1 votes305,579R +28.0
+1 votes305,578R +28.0
+1 votes305,577R +28.0
+1 votes305,576R +28.0
+2 votes305,575R +28.0
+1 votes305,573R +28.0
+1 votes305,572R +28.0
+2 votes305,571R +28.0
+1 votes305,569R +28.0
+2 votes305,568R +28.0
+7 votes305,566R +28.0