Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

South Dakota · Governor

South Dakota Governor

Larry Rhoden wins. Called.

95% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Larry Rhoden R won 193,334 63.5%
Dan Ahlers D 111,157 36.5%
Total304,491

669 of 671 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:57 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Minnehaha 66,466 R +5.2 R +13.0 D +7.8 100%
Pennington 37,228 R +25.5 R +27.2 D +1.6 74%
Lincoln 26,310 R +21.8 R +27.1 D +5.3 100%
Brown 12,048 R +27.7 R +27.3 R +0.3 100%
Brookings 11,506 R +18.6 R +17.8 R +0.8 100%
Lawrence 10,583 R +32.2 R +32.2 D +0.1 100%
Meade 10,028 R +50.3 R +52.2 D +1.9 100%
Codington 9,896 R +36.9 R +41.8 D +4.9 100%
Yankton 7,705 R +23.0 R +26.3 D +3.3 100%
Hughes 6,519 R +37.6 R +30.9 R +6.7 100%
Davison 6,067 R +36.3 R +38.7 D +2.4 100%
Union 5,814 R +34.0 R +41.5 D +7.5 100%
Beadle 4,824 R +40.8 R +41.0 D +0.2 100%
Custer 4,644 R +47.3 R +46.7 R +0.6 100%
Lake 4,446 R +31.4 R +31.8 D +0.3 100%
Clay 4,088 D +10.0 D +6.7 D +3.3 100%
Butte 3,436 R +59.8 R +62.1 D +2.3 74%
Fall River 3,261 R +48.4 R +50.5 D +2.1 100%
Turner 3,251 R +48.8 R +52.7 D +4.0 100%
Roberts 2,972 R +18.2 R +23.4 D +5.2 100%
Grant 2,901 R +45.4 R +46.6 D +1.2 100%
Charles Mix 2,685 R +42.5 R +43.7 D +1.2 100%
Hutchinson 2,557 R +59.6 R +58.9 R +0.7 100%
Moody 2,474 R +20.9 R +32.6 D +11.7 100%
Day 2,272 R +29.1 R +30.5 D +1.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2 votes304,491R +27.0
+1 votes304,489R +27.0
+1 votes304,488R +27.0
+1 votes304,487R +27.0
+1 votes304,486R +27.0
+2 votes304,485R +27.0
+1 votes304,483R +27.0
+1 votes304,482R +27.0
+2 votes304,481R +27.0
+1 votes304,479R +27.0
+2 votes304,478R +27.0
+7 votes304,476R +27.0