Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Oregon · U.S. House

Oregon 4th District

Val Hoyle wins. Called.

74% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Val Hoyle D won 148,206 54.1%
Monique DeSpain R 117,621 42.9%
Justin Filip P/G 8,220 3.0%
Total274,047

0 of 1,309 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lane 139,433 D +22.2 D +23.8 R +1.6 70%
Benton 42,880 D +36.9 D +41.0 R +4.1 87%
Douglas 34,170 R +36.4 R +36.5 D +0.1 73%
Coos 29,153 R +20.8 R +20.6 R +0.2 86%
Lincoln 16,129 D +29.9 D +19.0 D +10.9 57%
Curry 11,630 R +13.2 R +16.5 D +3.2 86%
Linn 652 D +12.9 D +16.0 R +3.2 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+46 votes274,047D +11.5
+59 votes274,001D +11.5
+19 votes273,942D +11.5
+1,964 votes273,923D +11.5
+6 votes271,959D +11.8
+6,935 votes271,953D +11.8
+10,800 votes265,018D +12.3
+13 votes254,218D +12.3
+555 votes254,205D +12.3
+253,650 votes253,650D +12.3
Val Hoyle wins——