Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Oregon

All races decided. The state's House vote has moved D +5.7 since 2024. D +8.8 since 2022.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +1.7D +1.1
GovernorR +8.4D +2.7
District 1R +2.6D +3.3
District 2D +8.9D +12.0
District 3D +6.9D +7.2
District 4D +3.4D +3.5
District 5D +7.6D +12.6
District 6D +8.9D +13.5

Statewide

U.S. Senate

Jeff Merkley won
56.6%864,436
David Smith
40.6%619,295
Chris Henry
1.9%28,849
71% counted

Governor

Tina Kotek won
51.8%795,742
Christine Drazan
45.5%699,467
Brett Smith
2.7%40,744
72% counted

Congress

District 1

Suzanne Bonamici won
69.7%154,258
Barbara Kahl
30.3%67,166
63% counted

District 2

Cliff Bentz won
61.6%185,667
Chris Beck
38.4%115,716
88% counted

District 3

Maxine Dexter won
76.3%164,418
Loran Ayles
23.7%51,095
64% counted

District 4

Val Hoyle won
54.1%148,206
Monique DeSpain
42.9%117,621
Justin Filip
3.0%8,220
74% counted

District 5

Janelle Bynum won
54.2%166,185
Patti Adair
43.8%134,477
Andrea Townsend
2.0%6,133
81% counted

District 6

Andrea Salinas won
58.0%113,919
David Russ
42.0%82,550
61% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Multnomah247,80663%D +3.8D +6.6
Clackamas167,41672%D +2.3D +13.7
Washington155,20556%D +3.8D +10.9
Lane139,43370%R +1.6D +2.9
Deschutes107,25890%D +1.6D +11.5
Jackson100,70290%D +6.1D +13.1
Marion72,30250%D +9.9D +18.8
Linn59,52790%D +2.1D +11.8
Yamhill42,24280%D +5.7D +12.3
Douglas42,89472%D +0.8D +1.7
Benton42,88087%R +4.1D +2.9
Josephine39,05984%D +4.2D +10.4
Polk31,85571%D +2.9D +10.1
Klamath28,49588%D +2.2D +10.7
Coos29,15386%R +0.2D +4.8
Columbia25,75288%D +6.5D +4.1
Umatilla25,38293%D +6.0D +13.6
Clatsop19,67591%D +6.4D +4.6
Lincoln16,12957%D +10.9D +15.1
Tillamook14,32391%D +4.2D +6.0
Crook13,81192%D +1.6D +8.4
Union12,26391%D +3.4D +10.4
Curry11,63086%D +3.2D +9.4
Hood River11,06495%D +6.3D +13.8
Wasco10,50385%D +5.2D +15.0
Jefferson9,91092%D +4.2D +16.7
Malheur8,92890%D +4.9D +19.5
Baker8,09587%D +3.0D +11.4
Wallowa4,49992%D +2.5D +8.7
Morrow3,88088%D +6.6D +13.7
Grant3,67783%D +1.5D +5.1
Harney3,63189%D +2.8D +10.1
Lake3,51682%D +0.2D +3.6
Sherman1,01491%D +0.7D +9.7
Gilliam96890%D +4.5D +15.2
Wheeler75484%R +0.1D +10.3