Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Colorado · U.S. House

Colorado 5th District

Killin leads by 12,767 votes. Not called.

89% counted

Our forecast: Jessica Killin, >99% chance of winning. Projected finish Killin +4.3. This isn't a race call.

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 10 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

CandidateVotesShare
Jessica Killin D 140,713 50.6%
Jeff Crank R 127,946 46.0%
Mark Elworth L 5,032 1.8%
Christopher Mitchell ACP 4,596 1.7%
Total278,287

375 of 394 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
El Paso 278,287 D +4.8 R +9.3 D +14.1 89%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+9,588 votes278,287D +4.8
+7,284 votes268,699D +5.1
+25,409 votes261,415D +5.3
+7,541 votes236,006D +6.5
+5,480 votes228,465D +6.8
+222,985 votes222,985D +7.0