Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Colorado

2 races undecided, about 92% counted, 1 changed party. The state's House vote has moved D +12.1 since 2024. D +11.8 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 10 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
U.S. SenateD +14.8D +11.0
GovernorD +17.7D +9.2
District 1D +13.5D +5.3
District 2D +10.8D +8.5
District 3D +3.2R +1.8
District 4D +13.0D +25.9
District 5D +19.2D +21.0
District 6D +14.0D +11.4
District 7D +10.5D +9.8
District 8D +14.9D +13.5

Statewide

U.S. Senate

John Hickenlooper won
60.2%1,527,474
Mark Baisley
35.3%896,225
Robert Chew
2.6%66,641
90% counted

Governor

Phil Weiser won
60.9%1,537,278
Victor Marx
33.5%845,907
Greg Lopez
2.8%70,210
89% counted

Congress

District 1

Melat Kiros won
78.3%228,081
Christy Peterson
14.1%41,059
Shimon Blau
5.6%16,191
92% counted

District 2

Joe Neguse won
74.3%256,537
Kelley Dennison
23.9%82,552
Gaylon Kent
1.8%6,281
89% counted

District 3

Jeff Hurd won
49.3%162,669
Dwayne Romero
47.4%156,472
Cory Robertson
1.7%5,483
91% counted

District 4

Eileen Laubacher 92% chance
48.8%184,059
Lauren Boebert 8% chance
47.9%180,782
Douglas Mangeris
3.3%12,440
95% counted

District 5

Jessica Killin >99% chance
50.6%140,713
Jeff Crank
46.0%127,946
Mark Elworth
1.8%5,032
89% counted

District 6

Jason Crow won
65.6%169,125
Jason Clark
31.6%81,397
Patty McMahon
1.4%3,721
82% counted

District 7

Brittany Pettersen won
60.7%222,251
Tim Bennett
36.3%132,885
Joe Krzeczkowski
1.2%4,288
90% counted

District 8

Manny Rutinel won
54.9%150,941
Gabe Evans
41.2%113,417
Dave Wood
3.9%10,688
99% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Jefferson296,19190%D +9.8D +10.0
El Paso282,25989%D +14.1D +21.0
Denver289,60292%D +11.8D +5.3
Arapahoe227,13980%D +15.9D +12.5
Douglas205,15997%D +18.3D +25.5
Larimer189,33096%D +15.0D +16.3
Adams181,62197%D +18.1D +12.8
Boulder147,80681%D +9.7D +7.5
Weld147,650100%D +15.7D +18.6
Mesa75,77294%D +6.2R +3.4
Pueblo65,73289%D +10.1R +1.6
Broomfield40,05797%D +9.4D +10.4
La Plata30,00792%D +8.6D +1.6
Garfield24,85292%D +9.9R +2.2
Eagle22,91693%D +11.7D +7.2
Montrose20,99592%D +6.0R +1.3
Fremont19,75990%D +8.5D +7.2
Elbert17,06095%D +14.3D +19.1
Delta16,09292%D +5.8R +1.7
Summit14,36493%D +13.3D +8.3
Teller13,61192%D +7.8D +8.9
Routt13,54489%D +10.2D +11.0
Chaffee12,70698%D +10.5D +12.1
Montezuma12,51191%D +7.7D +0.8
Morgan10,12091%D +24.6D +31.1
Park9,45586%D +8.6D +6.8
Gunnison9,31993%D +6.2R +2.0
Pitkin9,05186%D +8.9R +4.4
Grand8,59497%D +11.8D +9.4
Logan7,72285%D +18.6D +23.9
Archuleta6,95281%D +11.1D +4.7
Otero7,01489%D +0.9R +9.2
Las Animas6,45688%D +6.9R +4.3
Alamosa6,05093%D +13.1D +0.9
Clear Creek4,97887%D +12.2D +10.3
Moffat4,96884%D +6.3D +1.4
Rio Grande4,83589%D +8.5R +1.4
San Miguel4,03190%D +1.6R +6.3
Prowers3,94484%D +18.4D +22.8
Yuma3,69384%D +20.7D +30.2
Huerfano3,72689%D +7.6R +6.5
Ouray3,51791%D +3.2R +2.4
Conejos3,44992%D +6.8R +5.7
Gilpin3,37390%D +8.9D +5.5
Lake3,326100%D +15.0D +9.6
Custer3,15086%D +4.9D +8.5
Rio Blanco2,91988%R +2.1R +2.2
Kit Carson2,87986%D +11.7D +17.8
Saguache2,72990%D +17.6D +6.2
Washington2,19283%D +17.4D +23.6
Lincoln1,90882%D +16.8D +24.2
Phillips1,87487%D +21.4D +28.4
Costilla1,81596%D +15.5R +3.5
Bent1,61079%D +13.1D +16.6
Baca1,52279%D +13.1D +12.3
Crowley1,30587%D +9.3D +16.1
Dolores1,19582%D +2.0R +3.6
Sedgwick1,06782%D +17.0D +24.3
Cheyenne82582%D +12.8D +16.8
Kiowa68782%D +2.6D +10.3
Jackson63084%D +9.6D +15.2
Mineral64082%D +2.3D +1.4
San Juan56091%D +6.6D +2.3
Hinsdale49688%D +0.1R +5.3