Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research
Forecasts. Results. Evidence.
Arizona · 2026 election coverage
2026 school-board contests and district measures reported by Maricopa County. These are the county's observations, not an inferred districtwide total or an address-specific ballot.
County context
An estimate, from the county's progress in the governor's race. It does not measure completion in this district's contests. How Arizona's count runs.
County-reported district coverage. School-district boundaries and board wards differ from city boundaries and can cross county lines. Eligibility depends on your registered address.
County report posted Nov 5, 8:21 AM. Source checked Nov 5, 5:30 PM.
Observed returns, unofficial until certified. “Ahead” describes the current count; it is not a local race call. Candidate selections in multi-seat contests are not ballots. Precinct reporting does not establish how many ballots remain.
All named candidates and reported write-in groups are retained. Shares use valid candidate selections for that contest, excluding overvotes and undervotes. A multi-seat share is not the percentage of voters supporting a candidate.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Bond Approval, No | 65,524 | 51.1% |
| Bond Approval, Yes | 62,676 | 48.9% |
128,200 valid selections.
No ahead by 2,848 votes (2.2 points).
Estimate: No 74% chance. It only asks whether the votes left could close the gap. Uses county progress; district completion may differ.
| Choice | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Sale, Lease Or Exchange Of Real Property, Yes | 83,755 | 66.6% |
| Sale, Lease Or Exchange Of Real Property, No | 41,936 | 33.4% |
125,691 valid selections.
Yes ahead by 41,819 votes (33.3 points).
Estimate: Yes >99% chance. It only asks whether the votes left could close the gap. Uses county progress; district completion may differ.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Rachel Walden NON | 56,842 | 30.6% |
| Jen Echols NON | 54,046 | 29.1% |
| Josh Chilton NON | 47,790 | 25.7% |
| Jason Smithson NON | 26,507 | 14.3% |
| Write-in | 804 | 0.4% |
185,989 valid selections.
6,256 votes between the current last seat position and the next candidate.
Estimate: Rachel Walden and Jen Echols 83% chance for the last seat. It only asks whether the votes left could close the gap. Uses county progress; district completion may differ.
Mesa Unified School District No. 4. This page keeps each board ward, term and measure as a separate contest; it does not combine them into a voter total.
County report labels: Mesa USD #4. Contest titles remain as reported; district identity follows the official directory linked below.
Official governing board information · District identity source · All school districts and education boards
We do not infer local winners, certification, turnout, remaining ballots or citywide or districtwide results from precinct percentages, population, county totals or the number of seats. Your own ballot depends on your registered address.