Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States

Wisconsin

All races decided, 2 changed party. The state's House vote has moved D +11.2 since 2024. D +11.1 since 2022.

How the count runs here

In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 23 points more Democratic than that report, in the same places. An early Republican lead here can shrink.

Stats

Each race against past elections

RaceSince 2024Since 2022
GovernorD +8.9D +4.6
District 1D +14.3D +12.9
District 3D +9.5D +10.5
District 4D +10.3D +10.3
District 5D +10.8D +10.8
District 6D +12.8—
District 7D +14.4D +10.9
District 8D +6.4—

Statewide

Governor

David Crowley won
54.0%1,441,003
Tom Tiffany
46.0%1,227,696
99% counted

Congress

District 1

Mitchell Berman won
52.0%158,839
Bryan Steil
48.0%146,885
99% counted

District 2

Mark Pocan won
100.0%287,024
63% counted

District 3

Rebecca Cooke won
52.5%172,771
Derrick Van Orden
45.9%150,895
Alexander Kent
1.0%3,346
99% counted

District 4

Gwen S Moore won
80.0%211,898
Tim Rogers
17.5%46,301
Arthur Burks
2.5%6,733
99% counted

District 5

Scott Fitzgerald won
59.0%220,991
Andrew Beck
41.0%153,277
99% counted

District 6

Glenn Grothman won
52.8%171,570
Brad Smith
43.4%141,046
Elizabeth Fitzgibbon
1.6%5,274
99% counted

District 7

Michael Alfonso won
56.4%191,822
Fred Clark
43.6%148,172
99% counted

District 8

Tony Wied won
54.1%177,258
Rick Crosson
45.9%150,248
99% counted

Counties

CountyVotesCountedSince 2024Since 2022
Milwaukee354,261100%D +11.7D +12.0
Waukesha218,306100%D +3.4D +11.1
Brown113,328100%D +9.7—
Outagamie85,238100%D +9.6—
Racine82,170100%D +5.4D +12.7
Washington70,520100%D +2.4D +9.2
Winnebago72,269100%D +10.2—
Kenosha66,999100%D +10.3D +13.4
Marathon60,067100%D +11.1D +16.1
La Crosse56,631100%D +15.6D +9.4
Eau Claire50,949100%D +15.6D +13.1
Rock61,79849%D +9.0—
Sheboygan51,774100%D +6.2—
Ozaukee50,830100%D +5.6—
St. Croix47,054100%D +9.3D +9.2
Walworth46,002100%D +6.9D +11.1
Fond du Lac43,869100%D +4.4—
Jefferson37,897100%D +7.5D +9.4
Dodge36,764100%D +5.3—
Portage34,404100%D +14.0D +12.3
Manitowoc34,319100%D +5.8—
Wood32,204100%D +11.0D +13.5
Chippewa30,006100%D +12.2D +11.2
Columbia26,981100%D +9.3—
Calumet25,280100%D +6.3—
Waupaca22,893100%D +5.5—
Polk20,951100%D +6.5D +4.6
Barron20,131100%D +8.7D +7.5
Oneida19,953100%D +8.7D +9.2
Grant19,888100%D +15.4D +11.1
Dunn19,780100%D +13.7D +10.3
Pierce19,788100%D +13.5D +9.9
Douglas19,214100%D +14.0D +10.2
Oconto18,769100%D +5.6—
Marinette17,693100%D +6.1—
Door17,465100%D +3.9—
Shawano17,326100%D +6.0—
Monroe17,611100%D +12.3D +8.4
Vilas13,041100%D +5.2D +9.5
Lincoln12,987100%D +10.7D +11.1
Vernon12,771100%D +13.7D +7.8
Trempealeau12,383100%D +14.8D +10.1
Clark11,594100%D +12.5D +14.8
Waushara11,063100%D +4.5—
Juneau10,699100%D +12.1D +8.3
Adams10,267100%D +7.1D +6.9
Kewaunee9,640100%D +5.8—
Bayfield9,549100%D +11.9D +11.6
Sawyer9,105100%D +8.2D +8.3
Langlade8,762100%D +7.9D +12.1
Washburn8,762100%D +8.6D +7.3
Burnett8,573100%D +7.1D +6.7
Taylor8,264100%D +8.8D +11.2
Jackson8,309100%D +13.5D +8.4
Marquette7,511100%D +3.6—
Green Lake7,445100%D +4.0—
Crawford7,050100%D +17.0D +7.8
Price6,907100%D +10.7D +10.5
Richland6,912100%D +14.4D +9.9
Ashland6,756100%D +13.5D +7.8
Rusk6,421100%D +10.2D +7.8
Buffalo6,300100%D +11.4D +5.4
Forest4,021100%D +9.6D +11.7
Pepin3,379100%D +10.6D +7.2
Iron3,165100%D +9.1D +8.8
Florence2,427100%D +8.8D +11.3
Sauk1,7685%D +9.2—
Menominee1,173100%R +3.9—
Dane262,29782%——
Iowa8,42465%——
Lafayette4,39456%——